Monday 17th July
USD Empire State Manufacturing Index @ 13.30pm
Forecast: -3.5
Thursday 15th June (released same time as unemployment claims + Retail Sales)
Forecast: -15.0
Actual: 6.6 Better than expected
XAUUSD
Gold made a daily low and pushed bullish on the news, with the daily candle closing bullish
Scenarios
Actual/Better than expected = Gold sells
Worse than expected = Gold buys
Tuesday 18th July
USD Retail Sales @ 13.30pm
Forecast: 0.5%
Thursday 15th June
Forecast: -0.2%
Actual: 0.3% Better than expected
XAUUSD
Gold made a daily low and pushed bullish on the news, with the daily candle closing bullish
Scenarios
Actual/Better than expected = Gold sells
Worse than expected = Gold buys
Wednesday 19th July
GBP CPI y/y @ 7am
Forecast: 8.2%
Wednesday 21st June
Forecast: 8.4%
Actual: 8.7% Better than expected
GBPJPY
GBPJPY was in a minor uptrend during Asian session and pushed up to make a high
when the news was released before retracing the whole move
Scenarios
Actual/Better than expected = GBPJPY buys
Worse than expected = GBPJPY sells
Thursday 20th July
USD Unemployment Claims @ 13.30pm
Forecast: 242K
Thursday 13th July
Forecast: 251K
Actual:237K Better than expected - lower numbers
XAUUSD
Gold whipsawed when the news released due to weak PPI numbers at the same time
Scenarios
Actual/Better than expected (lower numbers) = Gold sells
Worse than expected (higher numbers) = Gold buys
Friday 21st July
GBP Retail Sales @ 7am
Forecast: 0.2%
Friday 23rd June
Forecast: -0.2%
Actual: 0.3% Better than expected
GBPJPY
GBPJPY didnt move with much volume and closed with an indecision candle
Scenarios
Actual/Better than expected = GBPJPY buys
Worse than expected = GBPJPY sells
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