Wednesday 21st June
GBP CPI y/y - 7.00am
Forecast: 8.4%
Wednesday 24th May
Forecast: 8.2%
Actual: 8.7%
GBPJPY
Price pushed up bullish at the news and the move was retraced at London open
Key Points
Food and non-alcoholic beverage prices continued to rise in April and contributed to high annual inflation
Core CPI rose by 6.8% - highest rate since March 1992
All CPI readings were higher than expected
Scenarios
Actual/Better than forecast - higher numbers = GJ Buys
Worse then forecast - lower numbers = GJ Sells
Thursday 22nd June
GBP Official Bank Rates - 12.00pm
Forecast: 4.75% (0.25% increase)
Thursday 11th May
Forecast: 4.50%
Actual:4.50%
GBPJPY
GJ spiked up bullish but the candle closed weak bullish(doji) and the trend continued down
Key Points
Inflation rate is still too high (10%) - target is 2%
Rates were risen to make sure inflation falls and stays low'
Expecting inflation rate to hit 2% by end of 2024
Scenarios
Actual/Better than forecast - higher numbers = GJ Buys
Worse then forecast - lower numbers = GJ Sells
Friday 23rd June
GBP Flash Manufacturing/Services PMI
Forecast: 46.8/54.9
Tuesday 23rd May
Forecast:47.9/55.5
Actual:46.9/55.1
GBPJPY
The news candle dropped bearish at the release and then reversed to close bullish
Key Points
Another increase in private sector output but the speed of expansion slowed since April
Services posted another decline for the 3rd month running
Private sector employment rose for the 2nd month running
Scenarios
Actual/Better than forecast - higher numbers = GJ buys
Worse then forecast - lower numbers = GJ sells
USD Flash Manufacturing/Services PMI
Forecast:48.5/54.0
Tuesday 23rd May
Forecast:50.0/52.6
Actual: 48.5/55.1
XAUUSD
Gold whipsaw and indecision candle due to mixed data
Key Points
Growth in output fastest for just over a year, expansion led by service providers
New orders rose at the fastest rate since April 2022
Services employment rose at quicker pace
Scenarios
Actual/Better than forecast - higher numbers = Gold Sells
Worse then forecast - lower numbers = Gold Buys
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