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News This Week May 15th - May 19th

Monday 15th May

USD - Empire State Manufacturing Index -13.30pm

Forecast: -3.7


Monday 17th April

Forecast: -17.7

Actual: 10.8 - better than forecast


XAU/USD

Gold dropped straight down on the news release, broke daily lows and retested a H4 support


Key Points

  • First positive reading in 5 months

  • Readings above zero indicate improving conditions - good for USD

  • Negative reading expected



Tuesday 16th May

GBP - Claimant Count Change (Jobs) - 7.00am

Unemployment Rate - 3.8%

Forecast: 31.2K


Tuesday 18th April

Forecast: -2.5k

Actual: 28.5k - worse than expected

Unemployment: 3.7% < 3.8%


GBPJPY

Not much volume at the time of the news release, GJ did drop at 9am for London open



Key Points

  • Increase in unemployment rates

  • Increased chance of rate hike in May


USD - Retail Sales m/m - 13.30pm

Forecast: 0.8%


Friday April 14th

Forecast: -0.4%

Actual: -1.0% worse than expected


XAU/USD

Gold pushed up and retested the daily flip, then flipped bearish and continued down to a previous H4 support

Key Points

  • Slowed retail sales in March most likely due to continue due to inflation and rising costs and higher interest rates

  • Weaker retail sales expected to continue throughout the year







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