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USD + GBP News This Week 31st July - 4th August

Updated: Aug 2, 2023

Tuesday 1st August

USD ISM Manufacturing PMI @ 15.00pm

Forecast: 46.9


3/7 ISM Manu PMI

Monday 3rd July

Forecast: 47.2

Actual: 46.0


XAUUSD

Short bullish spike at the news release but minor downtrend continued




Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected = Gold Sells

Worse than expected = Gold Buys


 

USD JOLTS Job Openings @ 15.00pm

Forecast: 9.61M


6/7 - JOLTS

Thursday 6th July

Forecast: 9.93M

Actual: 9.82M

(released same time as positive ISM services PMI)


XAUUSD

Gold pushed bearish and made new daily lows




Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected = Gold Sells

Worse than expected = Gold Buys

 

Wednesday 2nd August

USD ADP @ 13.15pm

Forecast: 195K


6/7 ADP USD

Wednesday 5th July

Forecast: 226K

Actual: 497K


XAUUSD

Very good numbers, Gold fell 140pips






Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected = Gold Sells

Worse than expected = Gold Buys

 

Thursday 3rd August

GBP Official Bank Rate (Interest Rates) @ 12.00pm

Forecast: 5.25% (0.25% raise)


22/6 GBP Rates

Thursday 22nd June

Forecast: 4.75%

Actual: 5.00%


GBPJPY

GJ whipsawed on the release but continued bullish for the rest of the day




Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected = GJ Buys

Worse than expected = GJ Sells

 

USD ISM Services PMI @ 15.00pm

Forecast: 53.0



6/7 ISM Servi PMI USD

Thursday 6th July

Forecast: 51.3

Actual: 53.9

(released same time as JOLTS)


XAUUSD

Gold pushed bearish and made new daily lows




Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected = Gold Sells

Worse than expected = Gold Buys

 

Friday 4th August

USD NFP/Unemployment Rate

Forecast: 200K/3.6%


7/7 NFP

Friday 7th July

Forecast: 224K/3.6%

Actual: 209K/3.6%


XAUUSD

Gold whipsawed, pushed bullish but flipped and closed bearish then continued bullish for the rest of the session


Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected = Gold Sells

Worse than expected = Gold Buys

 


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