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USD + GBP News This Week December 11th - December 15th

Tuesday 12th December

GBP Claimant Count Change @ 7.00am

Forecast: 20.3K


GBP Unemployment 14th november

Tuesday 14th November

Forecast: 15.0K

Actual: 17.8.K (Worse than expected)


GBPJPY

20pip bullish push at the news


Trend - Bullish and continued


Scenarios

Actual/Worse than expected(lower) - GBPJPY Buys

Better than expected(higher) - GBPJPY Sells

 

USD CPI y/y @ 1.00pm

Forecast: 3.1%

USD CPI 14th november

Tuesday 14th November

Forecast: 3.3%

Actual: 3.2% (Worse than expected)

XAUUSD

Gold spiked down then pushed up 130pips




Trend - Bullish and continued up


Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected(higher) - Gold Sells

Worse than expected(lower) - Gold Buys


 

Wednesday 13th December

GBP GDP y/y @ 7.00am

Forecast: -0.1%

GBP GDP 10th november

Friday 10th November

Forecast: 0.0%

Actual: 0.2% (Better than expected)

GBPJPY

GJ whipsawed and closed weak bullish


Trend - Overall bearish and traded in a range


Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected(higher) - GBPJPY Buys

Worse than expected(lower) - GBPJPY Sells


 

USD PPI m/m @ 1.30pm

Forecast: 0.1%

USD PPI 15th november

Wednesday 15th November

Forecast: 0.1%

Actual: -0.5% (Worse than expected)

XAUUSD

Gold pushed up and flipped bearish driving down 140pips over the next hour and a half


Trend - Bullish - bearish pullback after news


Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected(higher) - Gold Sells

Worse than expected(lower) - Gold Buys


 

USD Federal Funds Rate @ 7.00pm

Forecast: 5.50% (no increase)

USD Interest Rates 1st November

Wednesday 1st November

Forecast: 5.50%

Actual: 5.50% (As expected)

XAUUSD

Gold had a small bullish push


Trend - Overall bearish and ranged post news


Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected(higher) - Gold Sells

Worse than expected(lower) - Gold Buys


 

Thursday 14th December

GBP Official Bank Rate @ 12.00pm

Forecast: 5.25%

GBP Interest Rates 2nd November

Thursday 2nd November

Forecast: 5.25%

Actual: 5.25% (As expected)


GBPJPY

30pip bullish push then price reversed


Trend - Ranging and continued to range


Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected(higher) - GBPJPY Buys

Worse than expected(lower) - GBPJPY Sells


 

USD Retail Sales m/m @ 1.30pm

Forecast: -0.1%

USD Retail Sales 15th November

Wednesday 15th November

Forecast: -0.3%

Actual: -0.1% (Better than expected)


XAUUSD

Gold pushed up and flipped bearish driving down 140pips over the next hour and a half


Trend - Bullish - bearish pullback after news


Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected(higher) - Gold Sells

Worse than expected(lower) - Gold Buys


 


Friday 15th December

GBP Flash Manufacturing/Services PMI @ 9.30am

Forecast: 47.6/51.0

GBP PMI 23rd November

Thursday 23rd November

Actual: 45.0/49.5

Forecast: 46.7/50.5 (Better than expected)

GBPJPY

GJ pushed up 100pips

Trend - Bullish and ranged for the rest of the day


Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected(higher) - GBPJPY Buys

Worse than expected(lower) - GBPJPY Sells



 

USD Empire State Manufacturing Index @ 1.30pm

Forecast: 1.7

USD ESMI 15th November

Wednesday 15th November

Forecast: -3.3

Actual: 9.1 (Better than expected)


XAUUSD

Gold pushed up and flipped bearish driving down 140pips over the next hour and a half


Trend - Bullish - bearish pullback after news


Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected(higher) - Gold Sells

Worse than expected(lower) - Gold Buys



 

USD Flash Manufacturing/Services PMI @ 2.45pm

Forecast: 49.3/50.5

USD PMI 24th November

Friday 24th November

Actual: 49.9/50.4

Forecast: 49.4/50.8 (Mixed data)


XAUUSD

25pip drop before price pulled back


Trend - Bullish and continued


Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected(higher) - Gold Sells

Worse than expected(lower) - Gold Buys



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