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USD + GBP News This Week December 18th - December 22nd

Tuesday 19th December

JPY BOJ Policy Rate

Forecast: -0.10%


31st October BOJ Policy Rate

Tuesday 31st October

Forecast: -0.10%

Actual: -0.10%


GBPJPY

Pullback to the Daily open then strong bullish push over 50pips



Trend - Bullish and trend continued


Scenarios

Actual/Worse than expected (lower) - GBPJPY Buys

Better than expected(higher) - GBPJPY Sells

 

Wednesday 20th December

GBP CPI y/y @ 7.00am

Forecast: 4.3%

15th november GBP CPI

Wednesday 15th November

Forecast: 4.7%

Actual: 4.6% (Worse than expected)

GBPJPY

GJ dropped bearish over 30pips before pulling back and closing weak bearish. The wick wa filled and price did make a low for the day



Trend - Ranging and continued to range after news


Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected(higher) - GBPJPY Buys

Worse than expected(lower) - GBPJPY Sells


 

USD CB Consumer Confidence @ 3.00pm

Forecast: 104.1


28th November CB Consumer Confidence

Tuesday 28th November

Forecast:101.0

Actual: 102.04.6 (Better than expected)

XAUUSD

Small bearish candle formed, not much volume



Trend - Bullish, small pullback for new but trend continued


Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected(higher) - Gold Sells

Worse than expected(lower) - Gold Buys


 

Thursday 21st December

USD Final GDP q/q @ 1.30pm

Forecast: 5.2%

28th September USD Final GDP

Thursday 28th September

Actual: 2.2%

Forecast: 2.1% (Worse than expected)

XAUUSD

Gold made a top wick that broke daily highs before reversing and pushing lower


Trend - Bearish and trend continued


Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected(higher) - Gold Sells

Worse than expected(lower) - Gold Buys


 

Friday 22nd December November

GBP Retail Sales m/m @ 7.00am

Forecast: 0.5%

17th November GBP Retail Sales

Friday 17th November

Actual: 0.5%

Forecast: -0.3% (Worse than expected)

GBPJPY

GJ dropped bearish on the news and continued bearish into London open


Trend - Bearish and continued trend


Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected(higher) - GBPJPY Buys

Worse than expected(lower) - GBPJPY Sells



 

USD Core PCE Price Index m/m @ 1.30pm

Forecast: 0.2%

30th November USD Core PCE

Thursday 30th November

Actual: 0.2%

Forecast: 0.2%

XAUUSD

Gold made a top wick then flipped bearish continued down



Trend -Bearish and continued trend


Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected(higher) - Gold Sells

Worse than expected(lower) - Gold Buys


 

USD Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment @ 3.00pm

Forecast: 69.5

22nd November USD UMCSI

Wednesday 22nd November

Forecast:61.1

Actual: 61.3

XAUUSD

Gold dropped bearish for over 100pips on the news




Trend - Ranging and continued bearish after news


Scenarios

Actual/Better than expected(higher) - Gold Sells

Worse than expected(lower) - Gold Buys

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